"Capital Anxiety: France, Germany, and the Politics of Foreign Investment before 1914"

Paper

Pre-1914 Europe is remembered as the high-water mark of liberal capitalism and international capital mobility, before WWI and interwar crises ushered in the era of controls. Historians have generally explained these flows with reference to economic rationality or geopolitical interests. While these factors were undeniably important, I offer a revised framing that integrates the role of domestic financial and political considerations in organizing this so-called era of capital freedom. I approach this from the perspectives of France and Germany, whose capital exports were principally directed toward portfolio investment in broader continental Europe. Focusing on capital destinations, however, risks overshadowing the other side of the story: the political management of the issuance and absorption of foreign securities on French and German exchanges. Drawing on foreign office, central bank, and private banking archives, I argue that the politics of foreign securities placement in France and Germany was shaped by concerns about the relative liquidity and robustness of their respective capital markets, which were viewed not only as strategic resources but exhaustible national assets that required careful management. I analyze how capital anxiety structured correspondence and dealings among political authorities, as reflected in efforts to account for national capital abroad, evaluations of foreign issues undermining domestic securities, and the monitoring of investors channeling funds through foreign markets such as London, Brussels, Zurich, and Budapest. These anxieties materially influenced policy decisions and financial diplomacy—culminating, in the German case, with the creation of a secret commission to centralize approval over foreign issues in the hands of the Chancellor. The result is a portrait of prewar capital mobility that does not assume its embrace in principle. Ambivalence and strategic restraint shaped capital export, even while it was strategically weaponized on the continent.